Rationale
The ratings upgrade
reflects better-than-expected performance of Suryalakshmi Cotton Mills Limited
(SCML) in H1 FY2022, supported by favourable demand conditions, and the
anticipated steady operational and financial performance over the medium term.
SCML's revenues and earnings have improved steadily from the second half of
FY2022 on the back of improved demand conditions, especially in the spinning
segment, post the deterioration in the operating performance in FY2020 and H1
FY2021. Further, with the volumes and realisations witnessing some recovery in
the recent months, SCML is likely to register a healthy revenue growth of more
than 40% and the operating margin is likely to expand by around 300 bps (to
~10%). Despite the likely moderation in the healthy contribution levels
witnessed in the spinning segment, SCML's performance over the next 12 to 18
months is expected to be supported by the growth in revenues and earnings from
the denim segment. In addition to the growth in earnings, SCML's credit profile
has been supported by the lower repayment obligations and reduction in interest
rates post the resolution of one-time Covid-19-related debt restructuring in Q1
FY2022. Key coverage metrics including interest coverage and debt service
coverage ratios are likely to improve to around 3 times and 1.8 times,
respectively over the next 12 months. Nevertheless, SCML's leverage indicators
and return indicators are expected to remain at moderate levels, with adjusted
debt to operating profits (adjusted for interest-free unsecured loans received
by promoters and related parties) of around 3.5 times and the return on capital
employed of ~9% for FY2022. The ratings also factor in SCML's established
market position in the denim and yarn segments backed by the promoter's long
industry experience, a diversified product portfolio across segments and the
integrated nature of operations. Further, the ratings consider the working
capital intensive nature of operations and exposure of earnings to volatile raw
material prices with intense competition limiting pricing flexibility of
industry players. ICRA also notes that post the allegations made against the
company in December 2019 with respect to the procurement of coal from Western
Coalfield Limited and the subsequent CBI investigation, there have been no
further updates on the issue. ICRA will continue to monitor if any adverse
development arises from the same, which could have a negative impact on the
credit profile of the company and take appropriate rating action when necessary.
The Stable outlook reflects ICRA's expectations that SCML's performance will
continue to benefit from its established presence in the denim and yarn
industry segments and long relationships with its key customers, aiding in
repeat orders.
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