Sector Trends     27-Jun-12
Sector
Bearings: Sharp depreciation of rupee helps penetrate replacement market better
While OEM and export market remain sluggish, the sharp depreciation of Indian rupee has dented the competitiveness of Chinese players in the domestic replacement market
Indian bearing market is estimated at Rs 8500 crore. But about 45% of these demands are met from imports. The organized bearing sector has about 50.5% market share with revenues of Rs 4300 crore. The unorganized segment primarily caters to replacement market, besides some niche segments.

Bearing sector is witnessing rising cost on the one hand and increasing dumping, especially from China on the other. Also, counterfeit bearing products account for nearly 20 to 30% of the bearings sold in the replacement market.

Traditionally, the Indian bearing industry can be broadly divided into automotive and industrial segments. Automobiles constitute the single largest user industry of the bearings sector. In both auto and Industrial segment, bearing sector supplies to both OEMs (Original Equipment Manufacturers) and Replacement market (After market).

NRB Bearings indicated that OEMs account for 65% - 70% of the demand while the rest is supplied to the Aftermarket (18% - 20%) and Exports. The domestic ball and roller bearings industry has till recently focused on small and medium diameter range bearings consumed by large volume industries like Automotive, Engineering, Power transmission, Renewable Energy, Railways etc. Now the industry is intensifying focus on large size bearings in their manufacturing plans to capitalize on growing demand for such bearings.

The automotive market mainly uses taper roller bearings, deep groove ball bearings and hub bearing units. Bearings find application in industrial segment in off highway vehicles, industrial drives, energy, railways, metal, mining, pulp & paper and cement etc. Industrial segment use spherical roller bearings, cylindrical roller bearings, slewing bearings, etc.

Sluggishness in auto production impacted bearings sector revenues

Aggregate of 12 bearing companies recorded mere 6% increase in net sales to Rs 1586 crore in the quarter ended March 2012. The growth in revenues decelerated sharply from 15% increase in the nine months ended December 2011 to about 6% in the quarter ended March 2012. This is partly due to sharp deceleration in the production of automobiles.

The operating margins of the sector improved by 30 basis points to 18.7% in the quarter ended March 2012. The depreciation of Indian rupee has marginally dented the competitiveness of imports from China, which has helped the players to marginally improve their share of the high margin replacement market. Finally, the sector recorded mere 5% increase in net profit to Rs 184 crore in the quarter ended March 2012.

Bearing Sector Aggregates
Bears the brunt of sluggishness into auto sector
1203 (03) 1103 (03) Var. (%) 1203 (12) 1103 (12) Var. (%)
Sales 1586 1498 6 5960 5288 13
OPM (%) 18.7 18.4 15.7 17.2
OP 297 276 8 938 909 3
Other Income 22 18 22 149 104 43
PBIDT 319 294 9 1086 1013 7
Interest 1 -1 PL 47 28 68
PBDT 318 295 8 1040 985 6
Depreciation 45 38 18 171 143 20
PBT 273 257 6 869 842 3
Tax 89 82 9 281 273 3
Cash Profit 229 213 8 759 712 7
Net Profit 184 175 5 588 569 3
Figures in Rs crore; PL = Profit to loss; Source: Capitaline Databases

SKF India

SKF India reported 8% rise in net profit to Rs 65.97 crore on 8% fall in net sales to Rs 580.35 crore, 42% rise in other operating income to Rs 6.76 crore and 266% surge in other income to Rs 10.90 crore. Other income included profit on sale of fixed assets used in the business of textile machinery components amounting to Rs 6.26 crore during this period. So, at PBT before EO level, the company reported mere 2% increase to Rs 93.14 crore during this period.

SKF India indicated that it derives 50% of revenues from auto sector, and the rest from various other industries including steel, cement, power, wind, textiles, Oil &Gas, defense, capital goods, construction equipments etc. Globally, Asia now accounts for 20% of total sales for SKF group as a whole, with Indian operations account for 26% of total sales of SKF Asia in 2011.

FAG Bearings

Fag bearings has been stepping up its exports from Rs 58.34 crore in 2009 to Rs 100.42 crore in 2010, which further increased to Rs 158.03 crore in 2011. To step up exports, the company continues to pursue growth through continued business development, Research and development, productivity and technology innovation.

Fag bearings reported 8% increase in net profit to Rs 46.31 crore on 17% rise in sales to Rs 360.10 crore, 75% rise in other operating income to Rs 3.20 crore and 59% rise in other income to Rs 11.27 crore.

Dr. Jürgen M. Geissinger, President and CEO of Schaeffler Technologies AG & Co., KG, Germany said, "We are anticipating particularly North America, but also China, India, and Russia providing impetus for growth. Based on these forecasts, we are currently aiming for sales growth of more than five percent and an EBIT margin of more than 13 percent in 2012. These targets mean our growth will continue to outpace that of our core markets." The parent company holds 51.33% stake in Fag Bearings India, through FAG Kugelfischer GmBH.

The parent company's operations are spread out in four continents through 75 companies. It is a preferred supplier to automobile majors like GM, Ford, Volkswagen, Volvo and Daimler Chrysler. Further, with lots of MNC automobile giants coming to India and those who are already in India are adding new variants to existing model, the demand for bearings in India will continue to grow and these Automobile companies would like to prefer a dedicated domestic partner for their ancillary requirements. This is likely to benefit Fag Bearings India in the form of increased demand from these players, as they would prefer Fag Bearings India to any other player due to their relations with FAG Germany.

NRB Bearings

NRB bearings plan to set up a Joint Venture company NRB IBC Bearings Private Limited, which will manufacture super precision bearings.

NRB bearings also plans to hive off its industrial bearings business into a separate business entity NRB Industrial Bearings, effective from 1st October 2012. Earlier, this scheme was supposed to become effective from 1st April 2012, but vide a meeting on 16th March 2012, the Board decided to advance the date of demerger to 1st October 2012, subject to various approvals.

NRB bearings has 73.45% stake in SNL Bearings, which is a listed entity. Schneeberger India Private Limited is a Joint Venture between NRB Bearings and Schneeberger Holdings AG, Switzerland. The JV is an exclusive agent in India for market and sales of Schneeberger products. Schneeberger products find application in machine tools, semiconductor robotics automation, metrology medical equipments packing machinery etc.

NRB Bearings reported 3% fall in net profit to Rs 13.06 crore on 11% increase in net sales to Rs 143.75 crore and 46% spike in other operating income to Rs 7.16 crore, in the quarter ended March 2012.

Timken India

Timken India reported 22% fall in profits to Rs 18.01 crore on 4% increase in sales to Rs 170.99 crore, 38% improvement in other operating income to Rs 1.88 crore and 63% spike in other income to Rs 6.58 crore in the quarter ended March 2012. US-based Timken Company, a major manufacturer and supplier of bearings, alloy steel, power transmission components etc, currently holds 80.02% in Timken India as of March 2012.

Expansions, and move up the value chain by SKF India

In Calendar Year 2011, Hardiwar operations continue to augment its capacity and the company incurred a Brownfield expansion in Bangalore as well which has also started production. For 2012, the company plans for further Brown field expansion in Pune and Haridwar plants at an outlay of Rs 80-100 crore. These plans will not only improve capacity, but will also bestow high end technology benefits for the company.

SKF India has already ventured into manufacturing tracking systems and gears used in solar power and wind segments. The company is also present now in high end bearings for off highway customers, which will drive demand as newer and larger players are coming in India and has selected India as a base.

SKF India benefits from EO income, forex gain and change in accounting policy

The Parent SKF has changed its accounting policy regarding allocation of global expenditure to its subsidiaries. Previously, onshore salaries, travel etc costs were grouped at group level and were allocated to respective subsidiary. However, from now on, the Parent will not allocate such expenses to respective subsidiaries, but will directly charge higher royalty and technology fees. Accordingly, for Q1, CY'12, there was a saving of Rs 12 crore, which would get adjusted out in subsequent quarters. However, as per the management, because of the change in policy, SKF India will gain and the total costs in terms of such allocable expenditure for CY'12 will be lower than CY'11.

The forex rate for all the imports to be made by SKF India from the Parent is fixed at the beginning of the year and subsequently whatever rates fluctuate, SKF India has to bear the same by the year end. The company predominately imports in Euro and any depreciation of rupee will hurt to some extent. However, for Q1 CY'12, there was a forex gain of Rs 5-6 crore, as the company hedged it very well.

Change in accounting policy by parent, forex gain and Rs 6.26 crore of profit on sale of fixed assets facilitated SKF India to report 8% rise in profits in the quarter ended March 2012. Otherwise, the company would have actually reported fall in profits during this period.

Outlook

Automobile sector recorded nearly 14% growth in production, including 20% increase in production in commercial vehicles in FY 2011-12. But the growth decelerated sharply to mere 8.2% growth in auto production in April-May 2012, with 1.3% fall in commercial vehicle production. The current fiscal is set to witness deceleration in the pace of growth in auto sector. On a relative basis, the demand from OEM is sluggish, but the demand growth is better in the high margin replacement market. However, the replacement market is dominated by small and medium enterprises, and also sharp acceleration in the pace of imports. In this regard, the sharp depreciation of Indian rupee in the recent times has marginally dented the competitiveness of Chinese players in the domestic replacement market, which augurs well for the domestic players.

Ball and Roller Bearing Operations of SKF India
Year % of STO Capacity
Utilized -%
Installed
Capacity
Production Sales
Quantity
Sales Price Var. (%)
199303 75.8 61.14 61000000 37294680 35615613 243.88 68.48
199403 76.85 63.05 61000000 38461308 38942571 258.77 66.45 -3.0
199503 74.89 65.41 61000000 39897220 40344207 294.47 72.99 9.8
199603 76.02 69.73 61000000 42535000 42882000 338.25 78.88 8.1
199703 77.71 85.09 62250000 52971000 45816000 372.85 81.38 3.2
199803 78.87 77.48 62250000 48231000 49289000 336.87 68.35 -16.0
199903 81.43 72.25 68250000 49311000 51017000 326.90 64.08 -6.2
199912 77.01 56.13 66000000 37043000 38962000 254.15 65.23 1.8
200012 75.52 85.72 66000000 56576000 53798000 336.55 62.56 -4.1
200112 73.93 80.28 66000000 52987000 52585000 325.05 61.81 -1.2
200212 72.98 87.4 71000000 62052000 62508000 362.55 58.00 -6.2
200312 73.23 92.12 72600000 66876000 67308000 402.35 59.78 3.1
200412 70.88 97.96 75531000 73987000 73986000 480.28 64.91 8.6
200512 62.4 83.26 94796000 78928000 75313000 560.05 74.36 14.6
200612 47.81 94.25 100157000 94401000 94834000 712.20 75.10 1.0
200712 45.47 90.96 113638000 103366000 97872000 785.34 80.24 6.8
200812 44.66 81.52 121225000 98823000 96516000 791.05 81.96 2.1
200912 48.14 78.01 132073000 103027000 103246000 801.35 77.62 -5.3
201012 47.55 74.46 163446000 121700000 118642000 1042.71 87.89 13.2
201112 46.04 74.37 180947008 134570000 132109000 1181.65 89.45 1.8
Price realization in Rs per bearing; Capacity, Production and sales quantity in numbers; excludes
trading operations in ball and roller bearings; Source: Capitaline Databases

 

Ball and Roller Bearing Operations of FAG Bearings India
Year % of STO Capacity

Utilized -%

Installed

Capacity

Production Sales

Quantity

Sales Price Var. (%)
199303 86.13 55.43 17150000 9506690 8499301 73.47 86.44
199403 88.18 58.78 17150000 10080658 10996441 90.95 82.71 -4.3
199503 89.12 71.69 17150000 12294475 12139527 99.45 81.92 -1.0
199603 90.4 77.49 17150000 13289848 12683088 117.21 92.41 12.8
199703 85.25 80.29 17900000 14372389 13427579 129.60 96.52 4.4
199803 89.11 83.7 18050000 15107412 14972596 143.60 95.91 -0.6
199812 91.41 62.11 18717000 11625693 12838937 117.30 91.36 -4.7
199912 93.22 85.66 20371000 17449308 17487371 171.44 98.04 7.3
200012 92.96 101.54 20371000 20685664 20315060 191.20 94.12 -4.0
200112 79.76 98.78 22000000 21732684 22454967 202.36 90.12 -4.2
200212 77.03 111.82 22050000 24655664 23822924 214.61 90.09 0.0
200312 76.18 101.46 25228000 25597384 25757151 232.94 90.44 0.4
200412 71.84 103.25 26381000 27237208 28408831 264.91 93.25 3.1
200512 71.92 107.01 30174000 32289550 32062545 332.76 103.78 11.3
200612 68.24 101.85 43338000 44140104 42971186 417.79 97.23 -6.3
200712 66.3 95.85 47103000 45146712 44621155 474.70 106.38 9.4
200812 64.22 93.38 49728000 46436360 45411889 523.70 115.32 8.4
200912 59.38 95.35 50038000 47711012 49259019 502.02 101.91 -11.6
201012 60.1 135.4 50038000 67749072 66271133 668.76 100.91 -1.0
201112 61.45 153.71 50957000 78324528 77454390 853.84 110.24 9.2
Price realization in Rs per bearing; Capacity, Production and sales quantity in numbers;
Source: Capitaline Databases

 

Ball and Roller Bearing Operations of NRB Bearings
Year % of STO Capacity
Utilized -%
Installed
Capacity
Production Sales
Quantity
Sales Price Var. (%)
199303 20.8 62.4 3000000 1872000 1816000 9.29 51.16
199403 49.3 55.4 6100000 3380000 3348000 24.97 74.58 45.8
199503 48.5 56.2 6925000 3894000 3964000 34.49 87.01 16.7
199603 45.0 51.6 6925000 3574000 3795000 41.79 110.12 26.6
199703 47.6 82.1 5925000 4864000 4602000 54.76 118.99 8.1
199803 49.4 87.6 5925000 5190000 4918000 58.17 118.28 -0.6
199903 48.9 88.7 5925000 5253000 5529000 55.76 100.85 -14.7
200003 49.4 79.5 8025000 6377000 6531000 68.95 105.57 4.7
200103 53.0 71.1 10000000 7110000 6540000 71.65 109.56 3.8
200203 52.9 69.4 10500000 7289000 7310000 78.47 107.35 -2.0
200303 52.3 78.4 10500000 8230000 7835000 87.85 112.13 4.5
200403 44.7 80.9 10500000 8498000 8914000 89.96 100.92 -10.0
200503 47.1 83.0 14500000 12030000 11801000 116.11 98.39 -2.5
200603 47.5 78.2 20450000 15992000 15559000 139.20 89.47 -9.1
200703 46.7 75.4 26020000 19609000 19699000 163.49 82.99 -7.2
200803 46.4 75.9 28930000 21963000 20324000 171.47 84.37 1.7
200903 42.4 59.9 29080000 17406000 15327000 136.58 89.11 5.6
201003 43.5 76.1 31930000 24301000 24611000 162.27 65.93 -26.0
201103 40.7 77.5 44630000 34588000 33291000 206.86 62.14 -5.7
Price realization in Rs per bearing; Capacity, Production and sales quantity in numbers;
Source: Capitaline Databases

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