ICRA had placed the long-term and medium-term ratings of RBL
Bank Limited (RBL) on watch with developing Implications following the
appointment of a Nominee Director from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) under
Section 36AB of the Banking Regulation Act, 1949 and the granting of leave to
its Managing Director & Chief Executive Officer (MD & CEO) by the board
on December 25, 2021. While the deposit outflows spiked following these
developments, the relatively high liquidity levels maintained by RBL helped
meet the surge in demand from depositors comfortably in the ensuing weeks.
Following the initial surge, the overall deposit outflows slowed gradually and
deposits now stand higher compared to December 25, 2021, while the liquidity
buffers remain adequate. ICRA will continue to monitor the deposit base for its
sustained stability and the liquidity position over the near term as well as
developments on the identification of a new MD & CEO. Additionally, the
ratings will be monitored for the improved trajectory at the asset quality and
earnings levels. ICRA notes that RBL's internal capital generation has remained
weak mainly due to slippages in the corporate book in FY2020, followed by the
onset of the Covid-19 pandemic and the surge in delinquencies in the unsecured
loans retail book (chiefly comprising credit cards, microfinance and business
loans). Looking ahead, the threat of future waves of Covid-19, the performance
of the restructured book and overdue loans in the retail segment will remain
the key determinants of the asset quality, credit cost and profitability. ICRA
has also reaffirmed the short-term rating, given RBL's comfortable liquidity
position and capital cushions. The rating also factors in ICRA's expectations
that the bank's operating profitability will continue to absorb credit losses
to a large extent without materially impacting its capital position and that it
will maintain its solvency position below the negative rating trigger. Further,
in the backdrop of recent events, RBL's ability to build a more granular and
stable deposit base at competitive rates will be a key driver of its scale of
operations. Moreover, its ability to shift towards secured granular retail
assets will be key for a sustained improvement in profitability.
Rationale
ICRA had placed the long-term and medium-term ratings of RBL
Bank Limited (RBL) on watch with developing Implications following the
appointment of a Nominee Director from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) under
Section 36AB of the Banking Regulation Act, 1949 and the granting of leave to
its Managing Director & Chief Executive Officer (MD & CEO) by the board
on December 25, 2021. While the deposit outflows spiked following these
developments, the relatively high liquidity levels maintained by RBL helped
meet the surge in demand from depositors comfortably in the ensuing weeks.
Following the initial surge, the overall deposit outflows slowed gradually and
deposits now stand higher compared to December 25, 2021, while the liquidity
buffers remain adequate. ICRA will continue to monitor the deposit base for its
sustained stability and the liquidity position over the near term as well as
developments on the identification of a new MD & CEO. Additionally, the
ratings will be monitored for the improved trajectory at the asset quality and
earnings levels. ICRA notes that RBL's internal capital generation has remained
weak mainly due to slippages in the corporate book in FY2020, followed by the
onset of the Covid-19 pandemic and the surge in delinquencies in the unsecured
loans retail book (chiefly comprising credit cards, microfinance and business
loans). Looking ahead, the threat of future waves of Covid-19, the performance
of the restructured book and overdue loans in the retail segment will remain
the key determinants of the asset quality, credit cost and profitability. ICRA
has also reaffirmed the short-term rating, given RBL's comfortable liquidity
position and capital cushions. The rating also factors in ICRA's expectations
that the bank's operating profitability will continue to absorb credit losses
to a large extent without materially impacting its capital position and that it
will maintain its solvency position below the negative rating trigger. Further,
in the backdrop of recent events, RBL's ability to build a more granular and
stable deposit base at competitive rates will be a key driver of its scale of
operations. Moreover, its ability to shift towards secured granular retail
assets will be key for a sustained improvement in profitability.