Rationale
While assigning the
rating, ICRA has taken a consolidated view of UFO Moviez India Limited (UMIL)
(rated [ICRA]A(Negative)/[ICRA]A2+)), its 12 subsidiaries/step-subsidiaries
including Scrabble Entertainment Limited (SEL)-a wholly owned subsidiary of
UMIL, and seven associates, given the common management, strong business and
financial linkages, within the Group. ICRA has changed its rating approach to a
consolidated view for arriving at SEL ratings in view of the proposed corporate
action for integration of part of of SEL, Scrabble Digital Limited (SDL) and
Scrabble Entertainment (Mauritius) Limited (SEML) with UMIL in the current
financial year. The rating reaffirmation and continuation of the negative
outlook factors in the impact of the disruptions caused by the Covid19
pandemic, with theatre operations remaining suspended/muted for an extended
period, leading to a delayed recovery in UMIL's operations and cash losses.
UMIL (consolidated) recorded a net loss (excluding share of profits/loss from
associates) of Rs. 116.9 crore and cash loss of Rs. 88.5 crore in FY2021,
against a PAT of Rs. 34.8 crore in FY2020. While some recovery was seen in
Q4FY2021, mainly in the southern markets, the resurgence of Covid-19 cases
towards the end of March 2021 led to various state governments re-stating
restrictive measures, including temporary closure of theatres. This led to a
16% QoQ decline in Q1FY2022 revenues to Rs. 27.2 crore from Rs. 32.4 crore in
Q4FY2021. Losses also widened, with net loss of Rs. 26.7 crore and cash loss of
Rs. 20.6 crore in Q1FY2022, as against Rs. 25.5 crore and Rs. 12.30 crore
respectively in Q4 FY2021. Although ICRA notes that the company has undertaken
several cost rationalisation measures which will help to reduce cash outflows
over the near term, adequate ramp up in revenues will remain critical for
improvement in the overall credit profile. Moreover, while the company has
sufficient near-term liquidity to tide over the disruptions, its ability to
raise funds to maintain its liquidity position and capital structure will
remain a key rating monitorable. UMIL's financial flexibility also stands
restricted on account of the sharp decline in share price over the past few
years. The rating, however, continues to factor in the company's comfortable capital
structure, with total outside liabilities / tangible net worth (TOL/TNW) of 0.7
times as on March 31, 2021 on a consolidated basis. UMIL's leading position in
the digital cinema services industry, with ~55% market share (in terms of the
number of digitised screens in the country) on a consolidated basis, a large
installed base of its systems among exhibitors and the acceptance of UMIL as a
digital partner by film producers /distributors, and its experienced management
team also support the ratings. The build-up in content pipeline, with around 55
movies scheduled for theatrical release over the next few months also provides
comfort, although revenue generation from the same will remain contingent on
continued easing of restrictions, particularly the opening up of cinemas across
India. UMIL, like film exhibitors, also remains exposed to a significant risk
of movies (including big budget productions) being released directly on OTT
platforms in the event of delays in opening theatres and/or in ramp up of
footfalls. Over the long-term, UMIL's ability to maintain commercial terms
(VPF/rentals) with its clients (film producers/distributors and exhibitors)
remains the key for sustained business growth, given the limited potential for
increasing the screen base in India. Risks also arise from the Group's
operating lease-based revenue model, which has required high initial
investments in technology and projection systems, as well as the moderate life
of projection systems of 6 to 8 years, necessitating some level of
maintenance/replacement capital expenditure on a continuous basis, and the
vulnerability to changes in technology. however, notes the company's attempts to
diversify into new revenue streams, which, if successful, would mitigate the
abovementioned risks to an extent.
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