Rationale
The rating upgrade
factors in the sustained healthy financial performance of Muthoot Finance
Limited (MFL) along with the scale-up in the overall portfolio, which was
largely led by the gold loan business. MFL's gold loan book has more than
doubled over the last 5 years to Rs. 49,622 crore as of December 2020 and
accounted for about 90% of its overall consolidated portfolio. The credit costs
in the gold loan business have been under control, uplifting the consolidated
earnings performance (PAT/AMA1 in the range of 5.5-6.5% during FY2018 to 9M
FY2021). ICRA expects the consolidated earnings performance to remain healthy
as gold loans would account for about 85-90% of the overall lending portfolio.
MFL's capitalisation profile, characterised by a consolidated managed gearing
of 3.5 times as of December 2020 (range of 3.0-3.5 times over the last 3-4
years), is also expected to remain comfortable over the medium term supported
by its expected healthy accruals. The ratings continue to factor in MFL's long
track record and its leadership position in the gold loan segment, its
established franchise with a pan-India branch network, and its efficient
internal controls and monitoring systems. MFL's ability to raise funds from diverse
sources, its current on-balance sheet liquidity and the short-term nature of
the loans result in a strong liquidity profile. ICRA, however, takes note of
the performance of the non-gold segments in the consolidated portfolio, which
are of a relatively lower vintage; the sustained good quality growth and
earnings performance of these segments would remain a monitorable. Some of the
asset segments, namely microfinance (5% of the consolidated AUM2 as of December
2020), vehicle finance (0.8%) and affordable housing (3%) faced higher 90+ days
past due (dpd) of 5.5%, 9.2% and 6.8%, respectively, vis-àvis 1.3% in the gold
loan segment. Also, in view of the expected portfolio risks post the Covid-19
pandemic, these segments faced portfolio contraction (vehicle finance and
affordable housing) or growth moderation (microfinance) in 9M FY2021 vis-àvis
gold loans, which grew at 29% (annualised) during this period. ICRA also takes
note of the geographical concentration of the branches and the loan book in
South India. South India accounts for 60% of MFL's gold loan branches,
contributing about 49% to the gold loan book. A demonstrated performance track
record in the non-gold segments and a steady improvement in geographical
diversity would be key, going forward, from a rating perspective. The Stable
outlook factors in ICRA's expectation that MFL will continue to benefit from
its established operational track record in the gold loan business, which is
expected to account for about 85-90% of the consolidated AUM over the medium
term, and its comfortable overall financial risk profile. ICRA has also
upgraded and withdrawn the long-term rating on the Rs. 1,898.73-crore
non-convertible debenture (NCD) programme and the Rs. 55.79-crore subordinated
debt programme in accordance with ICRA's policy on the withdrawal of credit
ratings as the instruments have matured and are fully repaid.
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