Rationale
ICRA has reaffirmed
and withdrawn the long-term rating of [ICRA]AAA(Stable) assigned to the Rs.
533.39-crore bonds of NHPC Limited (NHPC) as there are no outstanding dues
against the same. The redemption payments have been independently verified.
ICRA has also reaffirmed and withdrawn the long-term rating of
[ICRA]AAA(Stable) assigned to the Rs. 877.72-crore bonds of NHPC as the rated
bonds have not been placed. The ratings have been withdrawn at the request of
the company. The rating action factors in the strategic role of NHPC Limited
(NHPC) in the hydropower generation sector as India's largest power generation
utility and its strategic importance to the Government of India (GoI) which
held a 70.95% stake in the entity as on March 31, 2022. The rating also factors
in the low business risk for the company because of the cost-plus tariff
structure for all its operational assets, ensuring regulated returns. ICRA also
favourably notes the competitive tariff level for the company's power plants
and strong operating efficiencies, reflected in its plant availability factor
(PAF) over the years. Further, the rating continues to factor in the healthy
track record of power generation from the operational hydel power projects,
aided by a favourable hydrology. The company's credit profile is also supported
by a favourable capital structure, reflected in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.74
times on a consolidated basis, and a strong liquidity as evident from cash and
bank balances of Rs. 3,186 crore on a consolidated basis as on March 31, 2022.
Further, the company continues to benefit from the long tenure of debt,
including subordinate debt from the GoI, at a low interest rate for some
projects in Jammu and Kashmir (J&K). NHPC has superior financial
flexibility for having a strong parent, and a long life of its hydro projects,
which support its liquidity. ICRA expects its revenue and cash flows to scale
up significantly post the commissioning of its two critical projects -
Subansiri Lower and Parbati II - over the next 12-18 months. ICRA, however,
takes cognisance of the execution risks, including the risk of time and cost
overruns, inherent in greenfield hydropower projects. Several of NHPC's recent
and ongoing hydropower projects have seen significant time and cost overruns
and further overruns cannot be ruled out. However, construction work on
Subansiri Lower 2,000-MW HEP, which was stalled since December 2011, was
resumed in October 2019 and it is expected to be commissioned in FY2024. Two
units of 200 MW each of the Parbati II (800 MW) hydropower project were
synchronised, and the project is expected to be commissioned in Q4 FY2023.
Apart from the Subansiri lower and Partbati II project, NHPC is executing
various thermal projects with a total capacity aggregating to 1,470 under
standalone and subsidiaries. Given the large-sized projects under construction,
the company's ability to commission these projects on time and within the
budgeted cost without compromising on its annual dividend payout, along with
requisite approval from the CERC remains crucial from a credit perspective.
ICRA also takes into consideration the counterparty credit risk associated with
the exposure to state distribution utilities like J&K and UPPCL. The Stable
outlook on the [ICRA]AAA rating reflects ICRA's opinion that NHPC will be able
to sustain its generation performance with a satisfactory collection
efficiency. Moreover, its under-construction projects are likely to be
completed without significant time and cost overruns.
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